MadSci Network: Earth Sciences |
Your question actually breaks into two questions: How many earthquakes have scientists recorded in recent human history? And How many earthquakes do scientists estimate have occurred in the history of the world (which is a long time, about 4.6 billion years!)? Basically, humans have been experiencing earthquakes for as long as humans have been around. But it is only in the last hundred years that scientists have been able to measure and record earthquakes on a world-wide scale. This is for a few reasons. First of all, scientists needed to figure out how to measure earthquakes and determine how strong they are and where they are located. Then, scientists needed to establish a number of observational stations around the world to record the motion of the Earth during an earthquake. Only if three (or more) different observing stations record an earthquake using seismometers (machines used to measure the motions of the Earth during earthquakes) can the location of the earthquake and its magnitude be determined precisely enough to map it. If you only have one station, you might be able to say that the earthquake happened "in that direction over there", but nothing very accurate. In 1931, there were approximately 350 seismic stations around the world. Today there are over 8000 stations and so we are able to detect many more and smaller earthquakes than ever before. It’s easier to detect earthquakes today as well because of the internet and satellites, allowing scientists to measure an earthquake and talk to each other rapidly from the far reaches of the globe to compare their data and determine where the earthquake happened. The United States Geological Service runs an excellent site to monitor earthquake activity around the world and also contains a lot of statistical data about earthquakes at their National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) (see link below). Basically, they give information about all the earthquakes that have been recorded since 1977 as well as limited information on the largest earthquakes that have happened since 1900. They also have excellent maps of earthquake locations throughout the world. I highly recommend that you check out their website. Here are their estimates of the number of earthquakes occurring around the world in one year based on the size of the earthquake (I took this directly from their webpage): Great (Magnitude > 8.0): 1 per year Major (Mag = 7.0 – 7.9): 18 Strong (Mag = 6.0 - 6.9): 120 Moderate (Mag = 5.0 – 5.9): 800 Light (Mag = 4.0 – 4.9): 6,200 (estimated) Minor (Mag = 3.0 – 3.9): 49,000 (estimated) Very Minor (Mag < 3.0): 9,000 per day (estimated) (For more information about what the magnitude of an earthquake means and its relationship to the energy and destructive power of an earthquake, the NEIC has a fantastic Frequently Asked Questions page.) These numbers help to address your question because the rate of earthquake activity on Earth has most likely been fairly constant in recent geologic history (in the last few millions of years). Therefore, these numbers should give a good estimate of how many earthquakes have happened in recorded history throughout the world (although, remember that the vast majority of the small earthquakes are never recorded and earthquakes below magnitude 4.0 are generally not even felt by humans). Another excellent site for looking up statistics about earthquakes that have occurred since 1977 is the Harvard Seismology CMT Catalog (link below), which has a searchable database of earthquakes. Finally, because you are from New England, you may be interested in the New England Seismic Network that is run by Weston Observatory at Boston College (link below), which monitors earthquake activity in New England. You can find out if there have been recent earthquakes near where you live! For example, there was a 5.1 magnitude earthquake in Plattsburgh, NY, on April 20, 2002. Did you feel it? I was in Rhode Island and I didn’t feel it, but some of my friends did. (Some people are just more sensitive to earthquakes than others.) Now, the harder part of your question is estimating how many earthquakes have happened in the history of the Earth (4.6 billion years). This is indeed an extremely difficult question! In fact, I couldn’t find any general information about how the expected numbers of earthquakes per year might have changed as the Earth’s surface has evolved over its entire history. In talking with some seismologists, it seems that scientists have not yet addressed this question. So, even though this is a difficult question, the best way to estimate an answer is fairly simple. Just choose what magnitude earthquakes you are interested in and multiply NEIC’s estimate of the number of those earthquakes per year by 4 billion (assuming that there were no earthquakes when the Earth was very very young)! To keep the number fairly reasonable, you might want to use a magnitude cut-off of 4.0 and above as representative of earthquakes that can be felt by a human standing on the surface. A magnitude cut-off of 6.0 and above might be a good estimate of earthquakes that cause damage. I had a lot of fun answering this question and I wanted to thank you for being patient in my response time; I have been travelling for the last few weeks or else I would have responded sooner. Hope these websites help! USGS National Earthquake Information Center: http://neic.usgs.gov/ Harvard Seismology CMT Catalog: http://www.seismology.harvard.edu/ Weston Observatory at Boston College: http://www.bc.edu/bc_org/avp/cas/wesobs/
Try the links in the MadSci Library for more information on Earth Sciences.