MadSci Network: Environment |
This link: http://earthtrends.wri.org/pdf_library/cp/cli_cou_036.pdf gives us two pieces of information we need: 1) Australia emits 687 metric tonnes of CO2 for each million dollars of Gross Domestic Product ($US inflation-adjusted from 1995). 2) Australian energy intensity (CO2 / GDP) has changed very slightly since 1990. With these two pieces, we can simply add the annual GDP, from here: http://www.nationmaster.com/time.php?stat=eco_gdp-economy-gdp&country=as-australia Note you will want to normalize these data based on 1995, to get the currency adjustment correct. If you can get this book from a library, it has GDP forecasts you can use: http://www.springerlink.com/content/h4q53l5548g78554/ As far as forecast data, using the relationship with GDP would make for a "business-as-usual" scenario. Changes in Australia's energy sources would alter this relationship. Note that at present fossil fuels account for 90% of Australia's energy: http://www.australia2020.gov.au/topics/docs/economy.pdf Hope this helps!
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