MadSci Network: Genetics
Query:

Re: Does two people constitute a viable gene pool?

Date: Mon May 10 13:49:49 1999
Posted By: David L. Beck, grad student, Microbiology Program,
Area of science: Genetics
ID: 926346517.Ge
Message:

There is the scientific point of view and the theoretical point of view. I 
will tell you both and you can decide what you want to believe.

The scientific point of view is based upon the simple fact that all human beings are mutants. What do I mean by this? All human beings have mutations in their genes in one place or another. These mutations have detrimental side effects if any one person has too many mutations. So if I take one million mutants that each have say 5 mutant genes, and allow them to produce offspring at random. Most of the time any one person will only have 5 mutant genes, many will have 6, some will have 7, and a few will have 8. And there will be very few that have more than 8. Remember for the most part the more mutant genes you have as an individual the less viable you are. This is a fundamental law of nature.

Now there is another fundamental law that comes into play. Individuals tend to each have different mutations. So Jack may have mutant gene A, B, C, D, and E. But Jill will have mutant gene F, G, H, I, and J. So when Jack and Jill mate their children get some combination of these mutant genes. Thats OK, because they go meet some random individual with mutant genes K, L, M, N, and O. Thus the offspring still of Jack and Jills children still have a chance of getting replacement A-J genes if they have a defective copy.

Now lets talk about small populations. We start with two people with 5 mutant genes each. Lets say for argument 8 mutant genes is fatal. Now they each have 5 mutant genes, and their children will each have about 5 mutant genes. Thats OK. So Jack ABCDE Jill FGHIJ kids: #1:AGCIE, #2:BDFGHI, #3:ABIJ, #4:GHDEF Now we see that randomly 2 kids got 5 mutant genes, 1 got 4, but 1 got 6. But it is OK they are viable. Now lets have #1 and #2 have kids: so #1 AGCIE #2 BDFGHI Now a rule is that if both parents have a gene - all the kids get it. Here both parents have G and I. kids: #5:GIBDA, #6:GIABEHC, #7:GIAH, #8:GIEF Now we are still OK so lets have #5 and #6 get married: so #5 GIBDA #6 GIABEHC both parents: GIBA kids: #9:GIBADEH, #10:GIBAHC, #11:GIBDAEHC(fatal), #12:GIBAEC Now we are not OK. We are starting to have fatal mutations. So you see a population starting with two mutant people will always lead to accumulation of mutants in the offspring which will have deleterious side effects. This is a fact of life.

That is the scientific point of view, now on to the theoretical point of view.

The scientific poit of view is that you can not start with two people. This assumes that you start with two people that are "normal", that have many mutant genes. But theoretically speaking what if you start with two people that are "perfect" have absolutely no mutant genes. If you start this same experiment, now with mutant free parents: Jack - no mutants Jill - no mutants Kids 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 your OK, kid 1 marries 2 kids of 1 and 2: 21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28, 29:A Now person 29 had a random mutation. These happen infrequently. We now have our first mutant in the gene pool. So 29 marries 22 kids of 29 and 22: 31, 32:A, 33, 34, 35:A, 36, 37, 38, 39 So now we see that mutations begin to accumulate. But remember what is happening at the same time here. First generation: 2 people Jack and Jill 2nd: 10 people (ie 5 mating pairs) 3rd: 40 people (ie 20 mating pairs, 2 people with one mutant) 4th: 180 people (ie 90 mating pairs, 6 people with one mutant) 5th: 800 people (ie 400 mating pairs, 30 people with one mutant, 1 with 2 mutants.) 6th: 3800 people (ie 1900 mating pairs - more mutants) So you can see theoretically you can increase your populations size sufficiently before you start to accumulate too many mutants in the gene pool. Thus you can get to your one million people before everyone has five mutants each. That is the theoritical point of view though. You have to assume that what you started with was perfect. Now if you want to be controversial and put the theoretical view in the Adam and Eve perspective. First lets look at how long people lived. Adam and Eve lived over 800 years, and their children/ grandchildren etc lived about that long. Now say that they had a child once every three years - just for fun - so that means the had about 200 children, spread out over about 600 years. Now if there first born child didn't start having children until they were 100 and stopped when they were 700, and died at 800 - their first born would have about 200 children, 130 of which would be the same age as the children of Grandma and Grandpa. So you might just marry your uncle under those circumstances. This would serve early on to keep the number of mutations in any one persons offspring very low. But mutations would eventually accumulate. I am not a theoretical geneticist so I don't know how long it would take to accumulate sufficient mutants to make it no longer possible to survive a bottleneck. Don't forget about the Noah bottleneck. That was three sons of Noah, married to three different women. So that was a starter of essentially four people. David


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